And then there were sixteen...At-large drama warning in effect!

Now, we wait!  Six teams in, two likely at-larges,

(notes from Friday and Saturday)
Northern Illinois' loss to Bowling Green opens up another at-large spot.  I may have been too quick to consider Oregon a long shot.  Now the four at-larges seem to be down to Alabama, SEC loser, South Carolina, Baylor, plus Oregon, a losing Ohio State, (or FSU, sorry, had to add them for completeness) in the mix. 

Oklahoma's comeback denies Ok State the automatic bid.  Both are now longshots for at-large slots. What a day here in the luxurious paneled dark wood conference room in tourney headquarters!

Baylor is not only playing for the Big XII automatic bid, but they would be on the bubble for being a top six seed.  Otherwise, they may end up playing Central Florida in the 7/10 game and then facing #2 if they win.

NIU loss opening an at-large, Baylor may go from at-large pool to automatic.  Oregon and other at-large hopefuls are seeing some opportunity to make the tourney.

Twenty teams started the weekend alive for my tourney, but now..

IN:

• Central Florida (AAC Champ; presumed 10th seed)
• Baylor (Big XII Champ)
• Auburn (SEC Champ)
• Florida State (ACC Champ)
• Stanford (Pac-12 champ)
• Michigan State (Big Ten champ)

PRETTY MUCH IN:

• Alabama (at-large)
• Ohio State (at-large)

THEY HAVE A SOLID SHOT AT LARGE:

• Missouri
• Oklahoma State (demoted to at-large longshot)
• South Carolina
• Arizona State (lost to Stanford)
• Northern Illinois (lost to Bowling Green)
• Texas (lost to Baylor)
• Duke (lost to Florida State)
• Cincinnati (lost to Louisville)

LONG SHOTS:

• Oregon (NIU loss gives upgrade from Long Shots)
• Clemson
• LSU
• Oklahoma

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From the white board at tourney headquarters:

1. Florida State
2. Auburn
3. Alabama
4. Stanford
5. Michigan State
6. ?
7. Baylor
8. ?
9. ?
10. Central Florida

At-Large options

1. Alabama
2. Ohio State
3. South Carolina
4. Missouri
5. Oregon
6. Clemson
7. LSU
8. Oklahoma
9. Oklahoma State